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What Happens Next Now That Biden Has Dropped Out? - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland 626c12

What Happens Next Now That Biden Has Dropped Out? (10513 Views)

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adamusuleiman1: 8:34pm On Jul 21, 2024
President Joe Biden just announced he is dropping out of the presidential race, a seismic moment not only for this year’s presidential election but American history.

So … now what?
It isn’t totally unprecedented for an incumbent president to not seek another term, but the particularities around Biden — both concerns about his fitness to hold the office of the presidency and the sheer size of a modern campaign apparatus that he controls — pushes the country into uncharted waters. And it comes after he had already dominated the primaries to become the presumptive nominee.

There are a lot of questions — and a lot of unknowns — about this unique moment. Here’s what we know so far.

Is Biden still the president?
Yes. While Biden announced that he was stepping off the Democratic ticket, that doesn’t remove him from office. He remains the country’s commander in chief until either the next president is inaugurated in January, or he chooses to step down at a later date. He said in his social media statement announcing his decision that he would finish his term.

“And while it has been my intention to seek reelection, I believe it is in the best interest of my party and the country for me to stand down and to focus solely on fulfilling my duties as President for the remainder of my term,” he wrote.

Almost no Democrats who called for Biden to step off the ticket have also called on him to resign from office early, although some Republicans in Congress have raised that prospect.

Theoretically, Biden could also be removed from office by his Cabinet via the 25th Amendment — the same amendment that was frequently discussed but ultimately not invoked for then-President Donald Trump after the Jan. 6 riot in 2021 — if they feel he can no longer serve. So far, no cabinet official has indicated that.

So who is the next Democratic nominee?
Biden’s endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris gives her a major leg-up in the fight for the nomination, but that doesn’t mean it’s a slam dunk. Although Biden faced only nominal opposition in the Democratic primary and won nearly every contest, he was not yet the party’s official nominee, and he cannot make a unilateral decision.

Broadly, when Americans vote in primaries, they are not voting directly for a candidate but kicking off a process that will ultimately send delegates to the party’s national convention. Those delegates are the ones who officially pick the nominee — and the Democrats’ convention hasn’t happened yet.

The convention is scheduled for Aug. 19-22 in Chicago — although party leaders were considering a “virtual” roll call to name the nominee earlier in the month. The DNC must now decide if it wants to carry through with its plan.

All of those nearly 3,800 Biden delegates have now become free agents. Even with Biden’s endorsement, the delegates who were pledged to him are under no obligation, according to the Democratic National Committee’s rules, to follow his lead and his chosen successor.

Who can run for the nomination?
Anyone who can garner enough signatures to have their name placed in nomination. Candidates need signatures from at least 300, but no more than 600, delegates — and delegates can sign only one candidate’s petition. Additionally, a candidate cannot submit more than 50 delegates from a given state — a provision to ensure that all candidates placed in nomination earn from a broad swath of the country.

There are roughly 4,700 delegates, capping the number of possible candidates at around 15. But functionally there will be far fewer: The pressure to avoid a messy nomination vote will be enormous.

Who are the delegates, and how does the roll call vote work?
Of the 4,700 convention delegates, just under 4,000 are “pledged” delegates awarded according to the results of the presidential primaries earlier this year. Biden won roughly 95 percent of them, according to The Green Papers, a website that tracks the arcane process of delegate selection.

There are another roughly 750 “automatic” delegates — the group once known as “superdelegates.” They are elected officials, party leaders and former luminaries, like former presidents (Barack Obama, Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter) and former DNC chairs.

After the 2016 campaign, these “automatic” delegates were stripped of their role in the first round of voting and only get to vote for the nominee in subsequent rounds if no candidate earns a majority on the first ballot — or if that rule is waived, as was the case in 2020, when Biden had the of a majority of pledged delegates.

There are questions about whether the DNC will continue with that plan now that Biden has ended his campaign. If the vote instead occurs on the convention floor, DNC rules provide 20 minutes of nominating speeches for every certified candidate prior to the first ballot.

If no candidate earns a majority of the vote on that first ballot, automatic delegates the voting for the second round — and voting continues until a majority of eligible delegates have voted for a specific candidate.

That candidate officially becomes the nominee “upon the conclusion of their acceptance speech,” according to DNC rules.

What about the vice presidential nominee?
Functionally, the presidential nominee selects their running mate. But there is still a DNC process, and it’s essentially identical to the presidential nominating procedure with one major difference: Automatic delegates get to vote on the first ballot.

What happens to Biden’s campaign infrastructure … and the money?

As of the end of June, Biden’s campaign had $96 million in the bank, and staffers — and field offices — across the country. That’s a massive amount of infrastructure … who gets it now?

There is no real precedent for a ticket switch in this era of big money elections. But many campaign finance experts have argued that as long as Harris remains on the ticket — potentially as the presidential nominee, but also if she is nominated for vice president again — she can fairly seamlessly assume control of that bank . The money, after all, was given to a Biden-Harris committee ed for both of them, not just the president.

This view is not universally held; Charlie Spies — a prominent Republican election lawyer who briefly worked as the Republican National Committee’s chief counsel earlier this year before reportedly being chased off by Trump and his allies — argued in a Wall Street Journal op-ed that Harris was not entitled to that money, raising the specter that somebody would try to block that handoff in court.

Campaigns can also make unlimited transfers to their respective party committees, so perhaps the cleanest outcome — especially if Harris is not on the ticket — would be the Biden campaign giving his cash to the Democratic National Committee, which could then spend it on the elections.

But all of this is unprecedented territory
.

Has this ever happened before?
Most modern presidents have sought a second term — with Lyndon B. Johnson as a notable exception. After assuming the remainder of John F. Kennedy’s term and winning a full term outright in 1964, Johnson was planning on running again in 1968.

But he was dragged down by the unpopular Vietnam War, and only squeaked out a win in the New Hampshire primary. A vulnerable Johnson — facing the anti-war Eugene McCarthy and a late entrance from Robert Kennedy — announced to a shocked nation in March 1968 that he would no longer seek his party’s nomination for president.

Soon after, Hubert Humphrey — his vice president — would launch a campaign of his own. The assassination of Kennedy changed the dynamics of the race, and Humphrey won the nomination on the first ballot at a convention in Chicago that turned violent around a debate over the Vietnam War and the party platform.

Humphrey went on to lose to Richard Nixon that November.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/what-next-biden-00170001

5 Likes 1 Share

Goodvibes007: 8:51pm On Jul 21, 2024
The contest for the democrat presidential candidate has been thrown open.

37 Likes

Boogyman557: 5:22am On Jul 22, 2024
Holly Gram cool kai !!!


Biden ticket don cut. This is going to be interesting.


LITE UP my WEED in peace


WTF MAN!

5 Likes 1 Share

dimexy247(m): 9:37am On Jul 22, 2024
What are you expecting to happen?

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Cheers guys.
othermen: 9:37am On Jul 22, 2024
This morning, numerous posts focused on US election, yet, there are pressing concerns in Nigeria. Even US forums haven't devoted as much coverage to this topic.

Let us see opinions on:

- what Jagaban stance on dangote monopolies might be? : Is the presidency truly protecting the country's interests or is Jagaban driven by greed, wanting so much and willing to cut Dangote’s wing? How Jagaban and Dangote disagreement may contribute to sponsoring northerners to protest and March on Aso Rock.

/The national protest: Is it a genuine movement for change or a politically motivated event? Should concerned citizens participate?

- The labour congress's failures: How have they let the people down, and what can be done to address this? Or were they successful? In the end, what is the fate of SMEs

- The Ooni of Ife and the allegations.



Let's focus on stories and opinions that matter to our country and on issues that affect us directly.

12 Likes

Xscape047: 9:38am On Jul 22, 2024
The world will wait
tiswell(m): 9:38am On Jul 22, 2024
He should rest,mend his ways and get ready to his ance.stors

1 Like 1 Share

Tallesty1(m): 9:38am On Jul 22, 2024
I pray they find someone because that woman can't defeat Trump. Americans go carry equality and women empowerment for head like gala until it's time to elect a president then they will dump it one side and vote for a man.

10 Likes 1 Share

Faber(m): 9:38am On Jul 22, 2024
Retirement...
CharleyBright(m): 9:39am On Jul 22, 2024
Biden was elected president. He only stepped down from contesting for a 2nd term. He didn't step down as president.
His tenure has not elapsed, so he still have to stay on till January when his tenure ends.
Meanwhile, Biden had already gotten the Democrats ticket to contest as presidential candidate in the forthcoming elections, and having decided to step down from contesting in the next election, there would be needed to seek a replacement candidate for the position for the Democratic Party.
Though Biden has nominated Kamala Harris for the position, but Biden cannot make that unilateral call. It will still require the party's delegate to endorse Kamala or whoever is showing interests for the position.
Where there are more than one candidate interested, it will through a delegate election process to decide.

Below is a link to how the process will roll.

https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2024-07-21/democratic-convention-replace-biden-history

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bnanny: 9:39am On Jul 22, 2024
What will happen is that racist Trump is never coming back to White House.

4 Likes

ClearFlair: 9:39am On Jul 22, 2024
You will see ers of incompetence trying to add their ignorant voices to a conversation about a system that works based on principles of equality, competence, ability, and patriotism. Jokes of the century.

2 Likes

Papayaayasager(m): 9:39am On Jul 22, 2024
Trump will become the next US president finish

1 Like

Dpharisee: 9:40am On Jul 22, 2024
Oka
Evergreen4(m): 9:40am On Jul 22, 2024
Tinubu should please follow Biden's footsteps by stepping down after his first tenure. It is evident that he isn't fit to serve.

6 Likes

otherway: 9:40am On Jul 22, 2024
Let's see how it goes.

As far as I'm concerned, the Simpsons predicted Donald Trump as president and it happened.

They also predicted a lady that looks like Kamala Harris as the first female president.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_NA9hKQE5Y?si=pskbofK0lVhRe7i9
Judolisco(m): 9:40am On Jul 22, 2024
Wetin concern you?
EyeCumInPiss: 9:41am On Jul 22, 2024
I blame Biden for not using Tinubu's tactics.
Just dodge debates and insist that it is your turn. grin

12 Likes 3 Shares

sojisenai(m): 9:41am On Jul 22, 2024
G
Mikelarteta(m): 9:42am On Jul 22, 2024
I will fly the flag and coast to victory God helping.
Racoon(m): 9:42am On Jul 22, 2024
A more better person will be elected to mount the saddle as the next 46th president of the United States of 🇺🇸 This is the beauty of participatory democracy.

1 Like

onatisi(m): 9:42am On Jul 22, 2024
life goes on, someone else will step up, take the ticket, and contest against Trump. America is bigger than a single human individual
ABANGWABOI(m): 9:43am On Jul 22, 2024
Trump will Triumph..
Then Feminist, Islamic Terrorîsts , Black Men in America will cry...
God bless Donald J Trump
onadana: 9:43am On Jul 22, 2024
cool Real students of history know's that America was craving for another option,Trump and Biden's age were an unnecessary baggage and moreover Trump is more unpredictable and crazy...all those saying Trump has an easy victory don't know democracy in America

2 Likes

Okoroawusa: 9:44am On Jul 22, 2024
You will make a great teacher if you are not already one. You broke it down nicely

1 Like

Dogalmighty17: 9:45am On Jul 22, 2024
What happens will be the most significant realignment of financial resources, political adept maneuvering and marshalling the clout of the big blue dogs(Obama, Hilary, Michelle, Bill) of the democratic party behind Harris.

This is a pretty significant development that Trump and Maga have no answer to. A quick visit to truth social will show Trump screaming and wailing like a banshee. He has pointedly refused to debate with Kamala in September. Trump is scared and he should be.

2 Likes

Truckpusher(m): 9:47am On Jul 22, 2024
adamusuleiman1:
President Joe Biden just announced he is dropping out of the presidential race, a seismic moment not only for this year’s presidential election but American history.

So … now what?


Is Biden still the president?


So who is the next Democratic nominee?


Who can run for the nomination?


Who are the delegates, and how does the roll call vote work?


What about the vice presidential nominee?


What happens to Biden’s campaign infrastructure … and the money?

.

Has this ever happened before?


https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/what-next-biden-00170001
Is Biden even aware that he has stepped down?

3 Likes 1 Share

fredoooooo: 9:48am On Jul 22, 2024
Nothing, life goes on .. politics go on
Before him politics exist , when he's here it exist and after he's gone it will continue to exist.
uuzba(m): 9:51am On Jul 22, 2024
Petrol will change back to N11 per litre.

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