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Osita Chidoka Analyzes The Results Of 2023 Off-Cycle Elections (Video) - Politics (3) - Nairaland 3m6k44

Osita Chidoka Analyzes The Results Of 2023 Off-Cycle Elections (Video) (14405 Views)

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BluntCrazeMan: 8:29pm On Aug 19, 2024
senatordave1:


Inec do not commit fraud without politicians forcing them at gunpoint
NONSENSE.!!

ABSOLUTE RUBBISH.!!
BluntCrazeMan: 8:30pm On Aug 19, 2024
Image123:


It's the whole point.
No need responding you again.

You just talked a whole bunch of nonsense by saying that I was sponsored.

((Sponsored by who.?? Rubbish talks))
senatordave1(m): 8:40pm On Aug 19, 2024
BluntCrazeMan:
NONSENSE.!!

ABSOLUTE RUBBISH.!!
Reality son

1 Like

BluntCrazeMan: 8:45pm On Aug 19, 2024
.
BluntCrazeMan: 8:48pm On Aug 19, 2024
MIKOLOWISKA:


Why would you trust a monopoly
Are you not smart


and what are you going to do about it, t throw a tantrum or ride to the challenge


The best way to start solving any problem is to know the root-cause of the problem, and estimate the devastation already done.

Then apply a palliative to stop further devastation, and start seeking how to prevent the cause of the problem..

After that, the healing process begins.

We cannot sit and watch.
We cannot also solve a problem by always doing palliatives.

I believe that analyses like this opens the eye of the people to what INEC is doing, and it also showed that the BVAS Truly worked on its own,, but that the INEC Officials ignored it all-the-same..

GOING FORWARD...

The aim would now be to force the INEC Officials to actually USE THE BVAS IN THE COLLATION EXERCISE.
BluntCrazeMan: 8:49pm On Aug 19, 2024
senatordave1:

Reality son
I guess I'm done with you for now
BluntCrazeMan: 8:52pm On Aug 19, 2024
SmartPolician:


INEC says it is too overwhelmed to prosecute electoral offenders.
But they are not overwhelmed in anyway to add the burden of conducting LG-Elections to their load of responsibilities??
senatordave1(m): 8:53pm On Aug 19, 2024
BluntCrazeMan:
I guess I'm done with you for now

No,just shut down the topic.until our politics is made unlucrative and unattractive,you are wasting your time sanitizing inec...As far as our politics is lucrative and monetized, inec will always be compromised...it is commonsensical...

1 Like 1 Share

BluntCrazeMan: 8:57pm On Aug 19, 2024
senatordave1:


No,just shut down the topic.until our politics is made unlucrative and unattractive,you are wasting your time sanitizing inec...As far as our politics is lucrative and monetized, inec will always be compromised...it is commonsensical...
Before now, nobody could analyse INEC Results.

But now, it is possible.

Very soon,, it could be done in less than One Week..

By then, if INEC Officials like, let them do fraud.
They would just find all their names ed as the defendants to the tribunal, for their offences to be established and punished, and alongside declare the election null-and-void.
Safyqueen: 9:01pm On Aug 19, 2024
easzypeaszy:
Okene ppl are the most useless ppl in Nigeria

Definitely you are not from Okene, so your comment is one of those comments from bastards who are so pained that Ebira people have claimed the state they suffered for the creation through IBB, General Salihu, I G. Aliyu Attah, etc.
After 16 years of rule, Okun people will have it. Any people so concerned can go for their Okura state if granted.
Safyqueen: 9:05pm On Aug 19, 2024
Contradictions from the Groundless Analysis of the Sponsored Former Minister of Aviation, Chidoka

Recall that the election that declared Alh Ododo Ahmed Usman winner over Muritala Ajaka has the results:
- APC: 446, 237
- SPD: 259,062
- PDP: 46, 362
Total Votes Cast: 791,890 (other parties inclusive)

With BVAS accredited Voters as: 656,313
- EC8A Accredited Voters from Portal : 792,335
- From INEC Certified Form EC8C: 821,473
- From INEC Certified Form EC8D: 794,500
.....….............................................

According to the Analysis of Mr. Chidoka;

FOR ACCREDITATION:
He agreed that any figures being talked about should be in the circle of 656,313 as total accredited voters.

❌False Analysis 1:
He said the significant non-compliance occured in 786 PUs which amount to 22.5% (~22%), adding that 77.5% (~78%) accreditation were in tandem with Total Votes Cast.
⤵️
That is, he threw off the 794,500 certified accredited voters, saying it has 22.5% significance non-compliance and adopted 656,313.

✓ Correction 1:
However 77.5% of 794,500 gives 615,737.5, which is not equal to his adopted accredited voters of 656,313 (40,575.5 cut-off). Is it that he doesn't know simple statistics?
.....….............................................

❌ False Analysis 2:
He further said accredited votes in 3 top LGAs should have been as follows:
Okehi: 38,208 instead of 57,011
Adavi: 52,003 instead of 103,086
Ikenne: 72,263 instead of 140,680
⤵️
That is, the total accredited votes adopted by him for Okehi, Adavi and Okene is 162,474 instead of 300,777.

✓ Correction 2:
Mr. Chidoka, how can the total votes APC gathered in the election across Kogi State is 161,000 when you already said the total votes cast is 162,474. Are you saying despite the fact that you claimed Okehi, Adavi and Okene together have 162,474 accredited votes, APC only managed to scored 161,000 votes across Kogi State ?Meanwhile, he forgot also that Kogi West Total Votes for APC was 76,916 and Ajaokuta has a total of 23,211 votes, but he excluded those figures in his analysis. What an almighty formula of Analysis.
.....….............................................

FOR VOTING:
❌ False Analysis 3:
He stated that there were over voting in 691 PUs which amount to 19.6%, ing for 318,000 votes.

✓ Correction 3:
Firstly, 19.5% of 794,500 is 154,927.5 and (❌not 318,000)

Secondly, by the saying 19.6% overvoting, it means valid votes were (100-19.6)% = 80.4%. Hence, 80.4% of 794,500 = 638, 778 as against 447,000 he declared as valid votes in his jaundice analysis.
.....….............................................

❌ False Analysis 4:
He said from the overvoting:
APC= 278,000
SDP= 22,773
PDP= 6,174
Saying that those were the results that should have been cancelled from the results.

He said there were over voting of 19.6% in 794,500 which amount to 318,000.

✓ Correction:
If you agreed that BVAS Accredited Voters is: 656,313 and Total Votes Cast is: 791,890

Then Total Overvoting = Total Votes Cast - BVAS Accredited Voters = 791,890 - 656,313 = 135,577. How does Mr. Chidoka arrived at 318,000 overvoting?

Even if we add his supposed overvoting of 318,000 to his alleged total votes cast of 447,000, you will have 765,000 as total accredited.

.....….............................................

❌ False Analysis 5:
According to his Analysis also, he said:
Total Votes Cast should be: 477,000
APC: 161,000
SDP: 238,000
PDP: 40,000
...and thus SDP should have been declared winner.

✓ Correction 5
Mr. Chidoka is hallucinating. Because even from his analysis, we can deduce he is on errand. How could you be tagging Alhaji Yahaya Bello to an election that concerns Alh. Ododo Ahmed Usman, Muri Ajaka and Dino Melaye?

✓ Let's assume that the off-cycle/certified accreditation was not used and only relied on the BVAS accreditation. APC will still win. Consider the aforesaid 3 LGAs likes Okehi with 38,208 + Adavi with 52,003 and Okene with 72,263, it gives a total of 162,474, and let's assumed 160,000 showed up for voting, then we have 162,000 + 76,916 of Kogi West Votes + 23,211 of Ajaokuta Votes, which gives 260,127 ( this still defeats 238,000 alloted to Muri of SDP)

Mr. Chidoka should collect more bribes to come back and justify his gibberish, but then that would be needless because Alh. Ododo APC's Victory is just by the corner.
Prince Suleiman Adinoyi,

1 Like 1 Share

yussybenayu: 9:14pm On Aug 19, 2024
The kogi case is in court and APC has won both at the tribunal and appeal. It goes to show how morally bankrupt we are in this country. How can we grow when leaders no longer care about what their followers feels.
hukslaw(m): 9:33pm On Aug 19, 2024
God bless Mr. Osita
SmartPolician: 9:48pm On Aug 19, 2024
Safyqueen:
Contradictions from the Groundless Analysis of the Sponsored Former Minister of Aviation, Chidoka

Recall that the election that declared Alh Ododo Ahmed Usman winner over Muritala Ajaka has the results:
- APC: 446, 237
- SPD: 259,062
- PDP: 46, 362
Total Votes Cast: 791,890 (other parties inclusive)

With BVAS accredited Voters as: 656,313
- EC8A Accredited Voters from Portal : 792,335
- From INEC Certified Form EC8C: 821,473
- From INEC Certified Form EC8D: 794,500
.....….............................................

According to the Analysis of Mr. Chidoka;

FOR ACCREDITATION:
He agreed that any figures being talked about should be in the circle of 656,313 as total accredited voters.

❌False Analysis 1:
He said the significant non-compliance occured in 786 PUs which amount to 22.5% (~22%), adding that 77.5% (~78%) accreditation were in tandem with Total Votes Cast.
⤵️
That is, he threw off the 794,500 certified accredited voters, saying it has 22.5% significance non-compliance and adopted 656,313.

✓ Correction 1:
However 77.5% of 794,500 gives 615,737.5, which is not equal to his adopted accredited voters of 656,313 (40,575.5 cut-off). Is it that he doesn't know simple statistics?
.....….............................................

❌ False Analysis 2:
He further said accredited votes in 3 top LGAs should have been as follows:
Okehi: 38,208 instead of 57,011
Adavi: 52,003 instead of 103,086
Ikenne: 72,263 instead of 140,680
⤵️
That is, the total accredited votes adopted by him for Okehi, Adavi and Okene is 162,474 instead of 300,777.

✓ Correction 2:
Mr. Chidoka, how can the total votes APC gathered in the election across Kogi State is 161,000 when you already said the total votes cast is 162,474. Are you saying despite the fact that you claimed Okehi, Adavi and Okene together have 162,474 accredited votes, APC only managed to scored 161,000 votes across Kogi State ?Meanwhile, he forgot also that Kogi West Total Votes for APC was 76,916 and Ajaokuta has a total of 23,211 votes, but he excluded those figures in his analysis. What an almighty formula of Analysis.
.....….............................................

FOR VOTING:
❌ False Analysis 3:
He stated that there were over voting in 691 PUs which amount to 19.6%, ing for 318,000 votes.

✓ Correction 3:
Firstly, 19.5% of 794,500 is 154,927.5 and (❌not 318,000)

Secondly, by the saying 19.6% overvoting, it means valid votes were (100-19.6)% = 80.4%. Hence, 80.4% of 794,500 = 638, 778 as against 447,000 he declared as valid votes in his jaundice analysis.
.....….............................................

❌ False Analysis 4:
He said from the overvoting:
APC= 278,000
SDP= 22,773
PDP= 6,174
Saying that those were the results that should have been cancelled from the results.

He said there were over voting of 19.6% in 794,500 which amount to 318,000.

[b]✓Correction:
If you agreed that BVAS Accredited Voters is: 656,313 and Total Votes Cast is: 791,890

Then Total Overvoting = Total Votes Cast - BVAS Accredited Voters = 791,890 - 656,313 = 135,577. How does Mr. Chidoka arrived at 318,000 overvoting?

Even if we add his supposed overvoting of 318,000 to his alleged total votes cast of 447,000, you will have 765,000 as total accredited.

.....….............................................

❌ False Analysis 5:
According to his Analysis also, he said:
Total Votes Cast should be: 477,000
APC: 161,000
SDP: 238,000
PDP: 40,000
...and thus SDP should have been declared winner.

✓ Correction 5
Mr. Chidoka is hallucinating. Because even from his analysis, we can deduce he is on errand. How could you be tagging Alhaji Yahaya Bello to an election that concerns Alh. Ododo Ahmed Usman, Muri Ajaka and Dino Melaye?

✓ Let's assume that the off-cycle/certified accreditation was not used and only relied on the BVAS accreditation. APC will still win. Consider the aforesaid 3 LGAs likes Okehi with 38,208 + Adavi with 52,003 and Okene with 72,263, it gives a total of 162,474, and let's assumed 160,000 showed up for voting, then we have 162,000 + 76,916 of Kogi West Votes + 23,211 of Ajaokuta Votes, which gives 260,127 ( this still defeats 238,000 alloted to Muri of SDP)
[/b]

Mr. Chidoka should collect more bribes to come back and justify his gibberish, but then that would be needless because Alh. Ododo APC's Victory is just by the corner.
Prince Suleiman Adinoyi,

Tell whoever that gave you this nonsense (I guess it is Prince Suleiman Adinoyi) to stop disgracing himself. Justices have reduced themselves to nonsense in this country. That's why they accept everything thrown at them.

To the point, if you want to deduct invalid votes that Bvas didn't capture, you don't deduct it from the total votes cast. NO! Stop being silly. Trace the sources of invalid votes to the PUs and LGAs and subtract them from there. That's exactly what Osita Chidoka did. If you do the same, you will arrive at the same results.

1 Like

boxypane: 10:00pm On Aug 19, 2024
SmartPolician:


INEC says it is too overwhelmed to prosecute electoral offenders.
Just imagine their excuse. But these electoral malpractices are what produce 95% of what we call leaders today.
HeatSeeker(m): 10:58pm On Aug 19, 2024
senatordave1:


It is not the fault of inec but desperate politicians

Exactly...

1 Like

Lamasta(m): 11:28pm On Aug 19, 2024
Those in power know the right thing to do to strengthen our electoral system but they won't do it cos it will never favour them due to their dubious way of rigging themselves to power......

1 Like

Lamasta(m): 11:30pm On Aug 19, 2024
senatordave1:


It is not the fault of inec but desperate politicians
Oga it is their fault cos they are meant to do the right thing that will checkmate those desperate politicians but they are not doing it that's why we are where we are today as a nation.
Safyqueen: 3:03am On Aug 20, 2024
SmartPolician:


Tell whoever that gave you this nonsense (I guess it is Prince Suleiman Adinoyi) to stop disgracing himself. Justices have reduced themselves to nonsense in this country. That's why they accept everything thrown at them.

To the point, if you want to deduct invalid votes that Bvas didn't capture, you don't deduct it from the total votes cast. NO! Stop being silly. Trace the sources of invalid votes to the PUs and LGAs and subtract them from there. That's exactly what Osita Chidoka did. If you do the same, you will arrive at the same results.

I think you are the one silly here. Is it not the results from PUs that were added together to form the total votes. What is the differences between deducting it from the total votes casted and deducting at the PUs?

Moreover you cannot be learned more than the court. For even insulting me just because we wants to educate the public shows you are one of those people still struggling to fathom how power eluded the Igala kingdom of Kogi state and still eluding them further till today.
MIKOLOWISKA: 6:36am On Aug 20, 2024
BluntCrazeMan:


The best way to start solving any problem is to know the root-cause of the problem, and estimate the devastation already done.

Agreed



Then apply a palliative to stop further devastation, and start seeking how to prevent the cause of the problem..

Were waiting



After that, the healing process begins.

We cannot sit and watch.

Why not
We have for 64yrs




We cannot also solve a problem by always doing palliatives.

Dorms on the problem



I believe that analyses like this opens the eye of the people to what INEC is doing, and it also showed that the BVAS Truly worked on its own,, but that the INEC Officials ignored it all-the-same..

Option a4 also worked
Nothing had changed
Ppl won't do shit about it



GOING FORWARD...

The aim would now be to force the INEC Officials to actually USE THE BVAS IN THE COLLATION EXERCISE.
now who will apply this force is the issue


You?
BluntCrazeMan: 7:01am On Aug 20, 2024
MIKOLOWISKA:

now who will apply this force is the issue


You?


I'm currently working on something.

It might not be something very huge though, but it is something that would gradually penetrate the current system unnoticed.

I hope it works and turn out good.
BluntCrazeMan: 7:10am On Aug 20, 2024
Lamasta:

Oga it is their fault cos they are meant to do the right thing that will checkmate those desperate politicians but they are not doing it that's why we are where we are today as a nation.
He even said At Gunpoint..

Whereas there are provisions in the current system for situations like that.
Declare what they want,, then report in the appropriate papers (WHICH ONLY YOU CAN SEE) that you were forced at gun-point to declare such a result..

But No.
The officials wouldn't report such.
That means, they declared those results with their normal senses and full conscience.
BluntCrazeMan: 7:14am On Aug 20, 2024
Safyqueen:


I think you are the one silly here. Is it not the results from PUs that were added together to form the total votes. What is the differences between deducting it from the total votes casted and deducting at the PUs?

Moreover you cannot be learned more than the court. For even insulting me just because we wants to educate the public shows you are one of those people still struggling to fathom how power eluded the Igala kingdom of Kogi state and still eluding them further till today.
He Did Not Do DEDUCTIONS OF VOTES...
Rather, He Did TOTAL CANCELLATIONS OF P.Us.

He didn't go to deduct those discovered margins of over-voting.
Rather,, he just applied the Electoral-Act-2022..
He Totally cancelled all those Polling-Units where there were over-voting.

Thus, in any Polling-unit which he cancelled, both the good votes and the bad votes in that particular Polling-unit are all cancelled.
Kobojunkieee: 9:54am On Aug 20, 2024
BluntCrazeMan:
This was exactly what I was saying all these while.
What I saw during the November-2023 elections made me loose all the little REMAINING trust I had left for INEC..
Before November-2023, I forced myself to actually believe that INEC made some innocent Mistakes or errors in the Elections of February/March of 2023 (although I knew they were not mistakes).
But the November-2023 sham-election was clearly a deliberate Fraud -- and that scattered the whole trust for me..

THE BAD NEWS HERE IS THAT -- THEY ARE PLANNING TO REPEAT THE FRAUD AGAIN IN EDO AND ONDO STATES..
But the fraud is traceable and equally avoidable to a great extent as the man revealed. It starts at the polling units with polling officers. I am particularly glad that there are names of those involved revealed as well. The people at the local merely need to ensure all those indicated are investigated and prosecuted for crimes committed so next set of people would be less willing to engage in such malpractices. 🤔
Safyqueen: 10:08am On Aug 20, 2024
BluntCrazeMan:

He Did Not Do DEDUCTIONS OF VOTES...
Rather, He Did TOTAL CANCELLATIONS OF P.Us.

He didn't go to deduct those discovered margins of over-voting.
Rather,, he just applied the Electoral-Act-2022..
He *Totally cancelled all those Polling-Units where there were over-voting*.

Thus, in any Polling-unit which he cancelled, both the good votes and the bad votes in that particular Polling-unit are all cancelled.

@bolded is part of electoral law as amended. Take note. Applicable and applied everywhere not only in Kogi.

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